Petroleum Forecourt
November/December 2001
The new temperature correction
regulation
Hot fuel has been an issue in the industry
for many years. In the early 1990s, temperature correction was considered
for petrol sold at the pump, but rejected as being too costly. Oil refiners
have in the past resisted the change. The issue was raised again last
year in the Victorian parliament along with terminal gate pricing. The
result is the new temperature correction regulation whereby,
« Sales
of petrol and diesel fuel, from an oil refinery, an import facility,
or connected terminals, will be sold by volume measured at 15°C
.
The new regulations should apply from
early next year. The Victorian government, convinced their counterparts
in other states - not all from the same side of politics, and the result
is a change that "everybody can live with". For an industry
often fraught with tension and antagonism, this is a refreshing outcome.
Hot
stuff
The refining process is "hot", up to 500°C. Even with
the use of heat exchangers to reduce costs, fuel regularly goes into
the terminal tanks at temperatures well in excess of the 15°C used
to calculate excise. Depending on the season and location, temperatures
are also often much higher than the ambient temperature. According to
APADA, with 'just-in-time' inventory management, and the rationalisation
of seaboard terminals, there is virtually no settling or cooling off
time for both petrol and diesel before it is trucked directly to either
service stations or the distributors' bulk facilities.
For example, on average, Melbourne
fuel is around 25°C when it leaves the terminal tanks and around
19.5°C when it leaves the service station tanks. This difference
of 5.5°C on a 30,000 litre load implies a volume loss of around
200 litres - volume invoiced and paid for but not available for resale.
This is a fairly modest example, with buyers citing cases of fuel bought
at 30-40°C at the terminal and losing over 1.5% in volume between
purchase and resale. For a $35,000 load, a 1.5% loss of product equates
to $525. The VACC cites one extreme case of a service station operator
being "short-delivered" to the tune of $74,000 over a year.
Using rounded numbers for simplicity,
we can "guesstimate" the extent of loss through cooling of
petrol within Australia. If the average temperature at the terminal
is 25°C and the average sale temperature is 20°C, then of the
20,000 Megalitres (Ml) of petrol refined, only 19,877Ml is consumed,
and 123Ml is the extent of shrinkage through cooling. Note that in energy
terms there is no loss - Australian motorists drive as far as, and no
farther than, the 20,000 Ml will take them.
When the wholesale price is 80 cpl,
buyers pay $16,000 million (m) for the fuel, and the refiners pay $7,901m
(19,753Ml at 40cpl) to the government. At face value, refiners receive
$99m in excise that does not get passed on to the government. Whoever
buys the fuel hot and sells it after it is cooled, pays for more litres
than they sell. Generously allowing 10cpl to cover all costs and profit
after the terminal gate, the consumer pays $17,889m rather than $18,000m,
valuing the cost of shrinkage at $111m (equivalent to $13,260 for every
service station in Australia).
When they fill up at the pump, motorists
really buy the energy content of fuel - the extent to which it powers
the engine. The petrol supply chain puts the fuel in their tanks. All
other things being equal, the temperature at which fuel is measured
for sale should have no impact on the overall consumption of fuel. However,
transactions are not in dollars per unit of energy, but in cents per
litre, and fuel changes ownership at different points on the supply
chain. This creates the potential for inequities. The businesses that
buy hot fuel and sell cool fuel - usually distributors and retailers
are the ones that seem to wear the loss. In particular, for independent
retailers, the main (and sometimes only) transaction with refiners is
buying fuel at the seaboard terminal. According to Consumer and Business
Affairs Victoria (CBAV), the change to the regulation is specifically
intended to level the playing field for independents.
On the basis of the loading manifests
(which showed temperatures in the range 20-50°C) and records of
tank delivery temperatures, the Victorian government believed there
was a case to act upon and that it was a matter of uniform trade measurement.
Although even the largest customers could not until then negotiate a
resolution of the issue, all the stakeholders, in particular the PMAA,
VACC, APADA, and AIP, contributed to government's understanding of the
problem and the solution.
Cool
new regulation
The Ministerial Council for Consumer Affairs agreed to introduce temperature
correction for fuel sold by refiners and importers to distributors and
retailers in July 2001. Temperature correction will apply to the first
transaction after the terminal. Therefore, retailers whose fuel is delivered
directly, whether they buy from an importer, a refiner, or a distributor/wholesaler,
will pay for volumes corrected to 15°C. For most purchases this
means paying for less litres, but not selling less. For some, their
sales volumes will be higher than their purchases! Retailers whose fuel
is delivered from a depot, whether they buy from an importer, a refiner,
or a distributor/wholesale, will pay for volumes measured at ambient
temperature.
The next step is for the Queensland
consumer affairs department to produce a Regulatory Impact Statement
that will be distributed to all States and the Commonwealth for approval.
Once the wording is agreed, it should be enacted in all jurisdictions
by the first quarter of next year.
The regulation does not apply to depots.
CBAV found that over 90% of the hot fuel problems are at the refinery/terminal
stage of the supply chain, and evidence (verified by Trade Measurement
Victoria) that the cost at the depot level would be substantial.
All
warm to the cool change
Everyone we spoke to for this article is pleased with the new regulation.
"The Victorian proposal, which
was supported by industry, was acknowledged as dealing with the majority
of the problem at little cost and with potentially significant benefits
for resellers. To some extent other problems of stock loss - leaking
tanks and theft - are blamed on cooling. Changing the regulation will
make things clearer." APADA
Even though the oil refiners argue
that the new regulation was not necessary - changes in temperature affect
volume not energy content, and the market price variations in the industry
overwhelm the impact of temperature variation - they accept that it
is an issue for other players in the industry, and the regulation will
have a positive impact in terms of a perception of greater fairness.
Retailer representatives agree the
new legislation improves the relationships within the industry by creating
fairer dealing. However, some are seeking to take the correction further
down the supply chain. The VACC argue that the new Harris device (designed
and constructed by former service station owner, Ken Harris) is a cost-effective
solution. The device is a connector between the fuel tanker and the
service station tank that takes the temperature as fuel is delivered.
However, there are still some unresolved issues around temperature correction
devices at service stations. Further, the AIP and APADA argue that it
would be costly compared to the relatively small gains from taking the
correction process the next step down the supply chain.
MTAQ also prefer measurement, and correction
and invoicing at the delivery point. Then, service station owners and
operators have a better handle on leakage and other losses.
No one is calling for temperature correction
at the pump where it is agreed the gains for the customer, if any, are
minimal.
Will we keep
our cool
There is less agreement or certainty about the impact of temperature
correction on buy prices. Conceptually, prices must be adjusting somewhere
because the energy produced is the energy consumed and there is no real
loss in the system from temperature change. Will they readjust with
temperature correction? According to the AIP, the price is not determined
through a cost-plus framework.
"The industry prices are set by
an unregulated competitive market that delivers the best price, and
in the current market this price does not cover the cost." AIP
CBAV thinks there may be a geographic
redistribution of revenue or a redistribution among participants. Keeping
in mind the intention of the regulation was to improve the competitiveness
of the market for the independents, it is important that any price adjustment
doesn't make any player worse off.
Then, there is the issue of compensation.
The new regulation is not retrospective. However, some service station
operators believe they have a right to recoup the value of the "lost"
fuel. Although some have kept excellent records, the number of claims
is likely to be small due to the difficulty in separating out the different
causes of volume loss. If someone was successful, it would raise the
issue of the implicit excise. The refiners have legally paid all their
excise obligations and the tax office has no further claim. Given the
inherent complexities and difficulties with compensation, many are focusing
on future and further improvements.
In Ml and $m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| REFINERY |
TERMINAL |
GANTRY |
TRUCK |
S/STATION |
CAR |
| 25°C |
at
20,000 |
|
20,000 |
|
20,000 |
|
Can
cool |
at
20°C |
19,877
|
|
| |
|
at 15°C |
19,753 |
at
25°C |
20,000 |
|
in truck |
|
$17,889
|
|
| |
|
excise |
$7,901 |
|
$16,000 |
|
or u/g
tank |
at
25°C |
20,000 |
|
| |
|
|
|
excise |
$8,000 |
|
|
|
$18,000 |
|
| |
|
|
|
Difference |
$99m |
|
|
Difference
|
$111
|
|