Forecourt
November/December 2003
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Focus: Rural & regional retailing
s the recent expansion of supermarket chains into fuel
retailing hastening the demise of the traditional country servo?
As expected, change is happening quickly. The Coles Myer/Shell alliance
is up and running in Victoria, Caltex and Woolworths have announced
a new joint venture and IGA is trialling its petrol discount offer in
Queensland.
When FuelWatch website members and visitors were asked whether they
intended to take advantage of the Coles, Woolworths or IGA discount
fuel offers, over 85% said yes.
Whether they will be able to or not still rests to some extent with
the ACCC. Although initially a strong supporter of the Coles/Shell alliance,
the ACCC has left its options open. Recent press statements point to
a less sanguine view of the supermarket fuel discounts and increasing
concern over the long-term impact on independents in petrol and grocery
retailing.
In the last issue of Australian Convenience Store News, we noted that
rural and regional retailers could be the most affected by the expansion
by supermarkets into petrol retailing. Feedback to APADA indicates the
Coles/Shell alliance has reduced volumes up to 30% in some areas such
as parts of Gippsland. The impact has been significant for some distributors
that have lost both retail volume through their own sites and wholesale
volume through the other sites they supply. Country retailing is the
focus of this issue.
That old chestnut - the country/city
price differential
The public perception that country retailers charge too much for fuel
has persisted for many years despite the many attempts by the industry
to explain it in basic terms. This perception was not helped by Woolworths'
entry into regional centres.
"It is getting harder for retailers in small country towns to
retain local customers," says Garth Symington, General Manager,
APADA.
"The differential between regional centres and small country towns
will be bigger. Whilst logical due to scale as well as distance, it
will be harder to explain. Interestingly though, in some areas there
will be no reason for the supermarkets to post low pump prices and price
differentials between regions may become apparent. Supermarkets will
then have the explaining to do."
Most country retailers can't meet the supermarkets head on. They need
to work on their product offering and find their competitive niche.
According to Garth Symington, you have to "either diversify into
addition product offerings such as fast food, car wash, dry cleaning
and the like to become a destination location and a convenience retailer
or consider leaving the industry."
Diversify or depart
Although the details of the proposed Caltex/Woolworths joint
venture are still being negotiated, we do know that it will leave over
1,600 Caltex branded sites out of the petrol discount offer. We assume
this will include nearly all the rural and regional service stations.
Owners and operators of these sites face the same difficulties as the
Shell branded dealer network. In his doorstop interview on 27 July,
John Fletcher, CEO of Coles Myer, alluded to the possibility of an expansion
of the Coles Express concept into the remainder of the Shell network.
However, Shell dealers have either had no communication at all or have
been told there are no plans for the dealers to become part of Coles
Express. Australian Convenience Store News asked two Shell dealers about
the initial impact of the changeover to Coles Express.
Gary Treloar operates a taxi service and Shell-branded service station
in Ballarat. The new Coles Express petrol discount offer compounds an
already awkward situation caused by not being part of the Fly Buys scheme.
"We carry the Shell brand, so people try to use Fly Buys,"
says Gary Treloar.
"The same is happening with the Coles Express offer. We have a
few people coming in with dockets. One gentleman became very abusive
with the console operator insisting the docket should be honoured. This
is probably because we are as close to the Coles supermarket as any
of the Coles Express outlets in Ballarat."
Gary Treloar's sales volumes were down 6% in August when his pump price
was higher than the Coles Express, Safeway Plus Petrol, APCO and United
service stations, all of whom were competing with very low prices."
"We have a minimum margin that we will not go below," says
Gary Treloar. "And, we are a bit protected with the taxi business.
We sell a lot of LPG."
Doug Grey's taxi business is also important to his business in Castlemaine.
There is no Coles Express in Castelmaine and the nearest Coles store
is either Bendigo - 38 kilometres north or Kyneton - 36 kilometres to
the south-east. Like Gary, Doug is maintaining his margin with a strategy
that focuses on values other than price.
"Country shoppers are not stupid," says Doug Grey. "They
know what it costs them to buy groceries and fuel and they can work
out whether it is worthwhile travelling into the bigger regional centres
or shopping locally.
"We are also confident the local townspeople know the benefit
of supporting local businesses. It generates local employment and we
employ local single mothers. All of the service station margin goes
to their salaries."
Even in local competition, Doug Grey has found that there is a reasonable
proportion of customers that are not sensitive to price but are sensitive
to waiting for pumps.
"We have a big site with good access and our strategy has resulted
in only a small loss of volume," says Doug Grey.
Of greater concern was the possibility that IGA and BP would form a
fuel discount alliance. The IGA network penetrates deep into rural Australia
and an alliance with a single brand would decimate the other brands
and independents in country towns. The recent announcement by IGA to
offer a fuel discount without an alliance with an oil company adds a
new twist to the unfolding story.
The IGA offer
From 1 October 2003, IGA is offering shoppers at any of its
189 Queensland stores the equivalent of four cents per litre when they
spend $30 at an IGA store. The fuel can be purchased at any service
station. Customers just need to take their fuel receipt to IGA and purchase
the required amount of groceries within 14 days of the fuel purchase.
It will be interesting to see if customers are as enthusiastic about
offers where they receive the discount later at the supermarket and
not at the pump.
This could mean eight cents per litre discount for customers who have
used either a Coles or Woolworths voucher to buy petrol at Coles Express,
Woolworths Plus Petrol or Safeway Plus Petrol.
More importantly, it means all service stations in country towns where
IGA is the main supermarket will benefit from the fuel offer. This might
take some of the public pressure off the fuel industry.
However, price pressures are not the only outcome of the recent changes.
Supply squeeze
Country retailers like Gary Treloar are experiencing a tightening
in the terms of supply. Credit terms are being wound back from 21 days
to seven days. This is a significant working capital impact for a small
business. These and other supply implications are anticipated by APADA.
"It will be critical to lock in a supply contract," says
Garth Symington. "With major oil companies supplying the supermarkets,
surpluses may disappear and some independents may have difficulty obtaining
fuel. If another refinery closes, the market will open up to imports
again but importers may not be able to find fuel of the required quality
at a competitive price."
That being said, someone has to supply regional Australia. This could
mean the customer has to pay the real cost of supply. In some communities,
key consumers such as primary producers are likely to pay more. Rural
communities will need to address the consequences of fewer players in
the business and prices that reflect the full cost of delivery. Some
communities may pay the ultimate price and lose their fuel retail businesses
completely.
Exit - the Clayton's option
Service stations face the same pressures that other small
businesses face. The feature that distinguishes fuel retailing is the
high cost of exit. Instead of a gradual change, there is more likely
to be a sharper generational change. All of a sudden, there will be
towns without service stations and communities will wonder why.
The reason for this is the high cost of exit. No-one will buy an old
service station as a going concern and remediation costs can be prohibitive
for alternative use. There is a strong incentive to stay and struggle
despite the losses and, perhaps, exit the hard way. When country service
stations go bankrupt and are closed and fenced off, the problem belongs
to the local community.
"This generation will work to the end and see it through,"
says Doug Grey.
"This is not because it is profitable: it is because the people
have the spirit of ANZAC. But, this generation of owners is getting
old and next generation is not there."
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